November 3, 2011

Actual Fantasy Football discussion

I hate to be the bearer of bad news, gents, but the season is more than halfway over, unless, like me but unlike Taylor, you are going to the playoffs.  At this stage, I think it prudent to evaluate draft busts and bargains.

Bargains (round picked; ppg):

Fred Jackson (6th; 21)
Matt Forte (2nd; 19)
McCoy (2nd; 22)
Mathews (7th; 14)
Darren Sproles (10th; 12)
Calvin Johnson (1st but after keepers; 19)
Wes Welker (4th; 20)
Steve Smith (8th; 16)
AJ Green (7th; 12)
Mike Wallace (3rd; 14)
Jordy Nelson (14th; 10)
Rob Gronkowski (14th, you're welcome Taylor; 11)
Aaron Hernandez (8th; 12)
Jimmy Graham (7th; 13)
Matt Stafford (8th; 21)
Ryan Fitzpatrick (12th; 17)
Eli Manning (10th; 20)
Aaron Rodgers (1st or 2nd; 29)  Anyone who averages 29 ppg is a value at any place in the draft.

Of course there are also waiver wire all-stars: Cam Newton (27 ppg), Fred Davis (9 ppg), Victor Cruz (9 ppg), Eric Decker (11 ppg), and it looks like Demarco Murray and Jackie Battle might be heading in that direction.  Note that some of the ppg averages are a little skewed because players (e.g. Cruz) played in games earlier this year but have assumed larger roles as of late.

Busts (Round picked; ppg)
Let's get injuries out of the way first:
Jamaal Charles (1st), Ryan Williams (5th), and Peyton Manning (2nd after keepers) were either injured very early into the season or never made it to the field.  I am also going to limit this to the first 5 rounds, because, although bargains are easy to call, busts become much more tricky.

Chris Johnson (1st; 7)
Peyton Hillis (1st; 9)
DeAngelo Williams (3rd; 5)
Knowshon Moreno (4th; 5)
Shonne Greene (3rd; 8)
Ryan Grant (5th; 3)
Felix Jones (3rd; 7)
Reggie Wayne (3rd; 6)
Brandon Lloyd (3rd; 8)
Mike Williams (4th; 5)
Dallas Clark (5th; 5)
Phillip Rivers (2nd;  16)

Finally, let me just say two things. 1) This list is subjective, so if you don't agree then you are wrong.  And, 2) I didn't add some players who were injured for a game or a few games, like Andre Johnson.

9 comments:

  1. This is just like the movie Congo.

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  2. Is this the same David Shitman from Mrs. Graves' homeroom class in 11th grade? How the hell are you doing?!

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  3. Question - who do I start at the flex spot? My options are Marion Barber, Hardesty, and Steven Jackson. I'm thinking Jackson, but Barber is looking awfully good in the redzone. Thanks.

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  4. P.S. - My RBs are Matt Forte and CJ Spill.

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  5. I also have Mario Manningham on my bench, but I don't see how I play him over my RBs.

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  6. Arthur, I'd go ahead and pick up Manase Tonga and drop Forte. You'll thank me later.

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  7. Thanks for the tip. I will probably just drop Manningham, but this Tonga guy sounds exciting.

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  8. Hey ARuthur! Why don't you go home and sleep in your bed and talk to yur mom. cuz your probly gay and dont no anything about football. Get a grip!!

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  9. Maybe it would be a good idea to stop cannabalizing your own.

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